1/1/15 Giants @ Saints

Giants @ Saints

11/01/15  1pm ET (12 Cent)

Line: -3 Saints
O/U: 49

Summary

                This game just screams a shootout to me. I think both offenses are going to be blazing here. Both teams have a pretty shoddy defense, and offenses with high upside. The game will be exciting to watch too. The Giants come in this game at the top of their division looking to get a win to further extend their lead on top of the division. On the other side, the Saints come here looking for another rout after beating the Colts and the Falcons back to back. The Saints may be a better team then most think. 

Team Stat Breakdown

Win/Loss record: Giants 4-3 < Saints 3-4

Points per gm: Giants 24 > Saints 23
Points allowed per gm: Giants 22 > Saints 26
Passing yards per gm: Giants 253 < Saints 315
Rushing yards per gm: Giants 95 < Saints 98
Yards allowed per gm: Giants 410 > Saints 420

DFS Players To Consider
(at Draftkings prices)

Giants

E. Manning 6.6k - Manning has not been consistent at all this season, and is completely bipolar with his points swinging up and down dramatically week to week. If anything however, Manning has a good matchup this week against the Saints. 

O. Beckham Jr 8.5k - In this game OB has a high floor and a high ceiling. The Saints secondary is beatable and Beckham should see points. 

Saints

D. Brees 6.7k - In this game Brees is looking to be more of a solid then Manning. I suspect the game may be pretty close which could lead to more rushes this week. Brees is a cheap solid qb with a high floor however. Needs 19 points for 3x return on investment.

M. Ingram 6.4k - I know that Ingram is going to be a solid play this week. Ingram is underpriced as he should be at elite pricing this week. All signs point to a big game for him. I'm buying Ingram in cash and tourneys.

B. Watson 3.5k - TE for the Saints, Watson has big shoes to fill with Graham leaving last season. Watson put up 30 points 2 weeks ago in a monster game. Watson is a cheap option with a lower floor but high upside in this matchup. 

11/1/15 49ers @ Rams

49ers @ Rams

11/01/15  1pm ET (12 Cent)

Line: -9.5 Rams
O/U: 39.5

Summary

                This game looks to be a very boring game with a low o/u of 39.5. The Rams D is already looking like a chalk play this week. In general we try and stay away from those games with low scoring potential, but lets take a look. 

Team Stat Breakdown

Win/Loss record: 49ers 2-5 < Rams 3-3

Points per gm: 49ers 15 < Rams 18
Points allowed per gm: 49ers 26 < Rams 20
Passing yards per gm: 49ers 207 > Rams 189
Rushing yards per gm: 49ers 110 < Rams 122
Yards allowed per gm: 49ers 421 < Rams 370

DFS Players To Consider
(at Draftkings prices)

49ers

I don't like any of the 49ers players against the Rams.

Rams

Todd Gurley 6.3k - Despite the price increase, I think Todd Gurley is a must play in this matchup possibly paired with the Rams dst. Gurley may be highly owned with everyone jumping on the bandwagon. 

Rams DST 3.2k - The Rams have a great defense. The 49ers have been shoddy on offense. The Vegas o/u is very low. Add these all together and we get a great play here. 

11/1/15 Cardinals @ Browns

Cardinals @ Browns

11/01/15  1pm ET (12 Cent)

Line: -4.5 Arizona
O/U: 46

Summary

                The Cards are heading to the dawg pound in the hopes of getting up to 6-2 and further outpacing their divisional rivals. The Cardinals have been playing very well this season, and are the favorites to win against the Browns. Vegas seems to think this game will be closer than I imagine. I'm bullish on the Cards line and think that needs to come up. The Browns have simply been mediocre this season and are 2-5. There is a small chance Manziel could see some playing time this week, but it is unlikely. 

Team Stat Breakdown

Win/Loss record: Cardinals 5-2 > Browns 2-5

Points per gm: Cardinals 33 > Browns 21
Points allowed per gm: Cardinals 19 > Browns 26
Passing yards per gm: Cardinals 289 < Browns 295
Rushing yards per gm: Cardinals 126 > Browns 90
Yards allowed per gm: Cardinals 331 > Browns 400

DFS Players To Consider
(at Draftkings prices)

Browns

Duke Johnson Jr. 4.2k - Flying under the radar, Duke Johnson Jr. has been putting up decent numbers very quietly. Johnson could be a sneaky value play for tournaments. 

Gary Barnidge 4.7k - Barnidge has been lighting it up for weeks. 4 weeks ago Barnidge was at 3.1k in value; so his value is starting to peak. Watch for Mccowns status, as Manziels primary targets could differ. A lot of people will be jumping on this bandwagon. 

Cardinals

Carson Palmer 7k - At 7k Palmer is starting to peak in price. Palmer is one of the safest bets thus far this season, with a high floor. Palmer is a safe play for cash games this week with upside potential.

Chris Johnson 4.6k - Chris Johnson will probably be heavily owned this week. The Browns have consistently allowed running backs to dash on them in back to back weeks. Johnson may be a chalk play this week for cash games, especially if this game is closer than expected in score. Johnson has high upside this week and a decent floor for his price. 

Larry Fitzgerald 7.7k - Fitz has had a monster start to the season, but it looks increasingly difficult to continue the brisk pace he started, especially with Floyd and Brown gobbling his passes. Draftkings also caught up with Fitz's pricing. I think Fitz is a fade for the price this week, but he does have a good matchup. 

M. Floyd 3.5k - A good flex play, Floyd has put up decent numbers the last couple weeks and has lots of upside if Brown does not play. Keep an eye on the injury reports. Even if Brown plays we may see increased targeting as they try and let him heal. 

11/1/15 Buccaneers @ Falcons

Buccaneers @ Falcons

11/01/15  1pm ET (12 Cent)

Line: -7.5
O/U: 48.5

Summary

                Tampa Bay heads to Atlanta for a divisional showdown this week. The Bucs are the clear underdog this week as they boast a 2-4 record, while the Falcons are 6-1 and undefeated at home. The general consensus suggests this game could get out of hand fast as the falcons put points on the board. The Bucs have shown a pretty consistent defense with limiting yards, but they have yet to play an offense like the Falcons. 

Team Stat Breakdown

Win/Loss record: Buccaneers 2-4 < Falcons 6-1

Points per gm: Buccaneers 23.3  > Falcons 28
Points allowed per gm: Buccaneers 30 <  Falcons 21
Passing yards per gm: Buccaneers 245 < Falcons 286
Rushing yards per gm: Buccaneers 133 > Falcons 130
Yards allowed per gm: Buccaneers 239 > Falcons 280

DFS Players To Consider
(at Draftkings prices)

Buccaneers

J. Winston 5.2k - Winston looks to play catchup against the Falcons this week, so expect him to air it out most of the day. A stack with Evans makes for a great tournament play against a beatable falcons defense. I would keep Winston out of cash lineups though as his floor is not too high. Winston should be low owned in general as well. 

M. Evans 6.8k - Evans blew up last week with 12 targets, hauling in 8 of them for 164 yards. With V. Jackson out, M. Evans is guaranteed lots of targets. With the Bucs playing catchup in this matchup, there is great potential for opportunities here. Keep an eye on V. Jackson's status as it could interfere with his total potential. 

Falcons

M. Ryan 7.1k - I think Ryan is a little bit overpriced in general, but Ryan could blow up in this game. The Bucanneers defensive numbers seem pretty good, but you have to account for some of the poor offenses the Bucs have faced this season. 

D. Freeman 8k - Is the Devonta train over? At 8k Draftkings finally caught up to the true price of Freeman. I feel Freeman should be faded in this game, but I have been proven wrong many times by this guy. 

J. Jones 9.2k - Even though Jones is very expensive, I like him better than Freeman in this game. Jones has a solid floor and great upside in this matchup against the Bucs; if you can make room for him. Jones has come off his nagging hamstring and is ready to produce, potentially taking work away from Freeman. 

R. White 3.9k - With Hankerson out, we could expect to see more passes going White's way. White hasn't put up any big numbers and has a low floor however. 

Falcons DST 3.4k - The Falcons defense has great potential this week with the Bucs possibly having to air it out more to keep pace. 

11/1/15 Lions @ Chiefs

Lions @ Chiefs

11/01/15   9:30am

Line: Chiefs -5.5
O/U: 45

Summary

                Here we have two teams on the brink of a lost season coming together at Arrowhead to fight for a W. The Lions have been struggling all season, and cannot seem to pull it together, despite having most of their players. Looking at the other side of the field, the Chiefs have lost their star running back Jamaal Charles; and have been struggling ever since. I think this game shows potential for the Lions to come out with an offensive blitz despite the line, but i'd be wary in Arrowhead. Smith has actually been throwing passing tds this year!? I'm not high on Smith despite the results, but it could continue. The close line suggests upside on the run game for KC. 

Team Stat Breakdown

Win/Loss record: Detroit 1-6  <  Chiefs 2-5

Points per gm: Detroit 19.9  > Chiefs 21.4
Points allowed per gm: Detroit 28.6  > Chiefs 24.6     
Passing yards per gm: Detroit 293.9  > Chiefs 260
Rushing yards per gm: Detroit 68  < Chiefs 106.3
Yards allowed per gm: Detriot 286 > Chiefs 279

DFS Players To Consider
(at Draftkings prices)

Lions

Matthew Stafford 5.8k - At 5.8k Stafford is underpriced. Stafford may not be stable as of late in terms of points scored, but he is more than capable of putting 25+ points on the board. Stafford started the season at 7k; now may be a good time to buy in tournaments. Stafford has a new offensive coordinator this week which could bring some positive changes in. Stafford is currently questionable, so keep an eye on his injury status on the news.

Calvin Johnson 7.9k - Megatron has been looking better as of late. I expect him to put up some big points in this game with a new Lions offensive coordinator at the helm. The Chiefs also have been the worse against recievers so far this season. 

Eric Ebron 3.1k - Ebron has been playing pretty consistently all season long and looks to get some targets against the chiefs. In the TE class Ebron is a low-middle tier TE. 

Chiefs

Alex Smith 5k - At 5k, Smith only needs 15 points for a 3x ROI. Smith has scored 15 points or more in 5 of 7 games this season. Smith is a sneaky play as he is sure to be low owned in tournaments. The Lions defense is porous, so keep Smith on the radar for a lineup or two. 

C. West 4.7k - With J. Charles out, West is the clear leader in the backfield for the Chiefs. This game is expected to be relatively close with leads taken by the Chiefs, which suggest a good running game for West. Maclin coming back could affect the workload on West however.

J. Maclin 6.2k - Maclin is at a very fair price and has some upside vs. the Lions. Maclin has had a week of rest with a concussion and should come back shining as Smith needs someone to throw to. For this reason I am not high on Kelce this week, especially with his lack of performance thus far this season. 

10/29/15 Patriots @ Dolphins

Patriots @ Dolphins

10/29/15 Thursday Night

Line: Patriots -8
O/U: 50.5

Summary

                Thursday night football this week brings us an expected high scoring matchup between the Pats and the Dolphins. At 50.5, this game is expected to be the highest scoring game this week, which means i'm not going to miss out on some of the buys in this game. The Dolphins are coming into this game after dominating against the Texans last week. In last weeks game the Dolphins had 40 points at halftime! On the other side of this matchup are the undefeated Patriots. The Patriots have been dominating this season, and have yet to take their foot off the gas pedal! You can expect the Patriots to do even more damage after this tweet! Don't forget though, these are divisional rivals, which means anything can happen.

Team Stat Breakdown

Win/Loss record: Patriots 6-0 > Dolphins 3-3

Points per gm: Patriots 35.5 > Dolphins 24.5   
Points allowed per gm: Patriots 21 > Dolphins 22.8     
Passing yards per gm: Patriots 342 > Dolphins 273.7
Rushing yards per gm: Patriots 83.7 < Dolphins 117.5
Yards allowed per gm: Patriots 381.8 > Dolphins 382.5

DFS Players To Consider
(at Draftkings prices)

Patriots

Tom Brady 8.3k - At 8.3k Brady is getting extremely pricey. Brady may be worth it in this matchup and future matchups as he has yet to score less than 25 points in all his games this year. I expect Brady to continue on marching; but I think there are better values at QB. 

L. Blount 4.7k - I'm rarely high on Pats running backs due their unpredictable nature, but I will be high on Blount in cash and gpps if Dion Lewis is declared out for the game. Lewis is a game time decision so keep an eye on the news. 

Rob Gronkowski 8k - Edelman and Gronk are 8.1k and 8k respectively, expensive! This is a game you want to have exposure to, so I do recommend taking at least one of them to rack up the points in this game! I think Gronk will have a better game then Edelman overall, due to better performance overall throughout the year. Lets face it, its Gronk! Have fun.

Danny Amendola 3.6k - Yes, I said it, Amendola! Amendola has put 20+ points on DK the last two weeks. I'm not one to follow the numbers often but I believe this is a pattern that could continue; especially with the amount of drops Edelman has. Keep Amendola to tournaments only, as his floor is very low. 

Patriots DST 3k - This game could turn lopsided quickly, which brings good opportunity for the Dolphins to make mistakes trying to keep up in this game, and hopefully allowing some pick 6's. I'm taking the Patriots in many lineups.

Dolphins

Tannehill 5.6k - The Dolphins QB Tannehill is definately underpriced on DK. Tannehill could easily rack up 15 points in this game turning over a 3x ROI with ease at worse. I am high on Tannehill because I believe he is going to be forced to throw to play catchup in this matchup. 

Lamar Miller 4.7k - How does Draftkings only increase his value by 100 after a 41 point game!? I'm really considering fading Miller in this game, as I believe the Dolphins are going to be throwing more. Bellichick is very good at taking away your favorite player as well. I mention Miller due to his price which is still pretty cheap. 

Jarvis Landry 6.2k - Don't be afraid to take Landry in on your lineups this week just because of the Patriots. Landry is looking to get targets against the Pats and a possible score. His price is just about right, and he has some upside. 

Rishard Matthews 4.3k - Matthews is a great bargain who has been putting up at least 14 points in all but one game this season. Matthews is a good value play, even this week against the Pats in Foxborough.