11/1/15 Lions @ Chiefs

Lions @ Chiefs

11/01/15   9:30am

Line: Chiefs -5.5
O/U: 45

Summary

                Here we have two teams on the brink of a lost season coming together at Arrowhead to fight for a W. The Lions have been struggling all season, and cannot seem to pull it together, despite having most of their players. Looking at the other side of the field, the Chiefs have lost their star running back Jamaal Charles; and have been struggling ever since. I think this game shows potential for the Lions to come out with an offensive blitz despite the line, but i'd be wary in Arrowhead. Smith has actually been throwing passing tds this year!? I'm not high on Smith despite the results, but it could continue. The close line suggests upside on the run game for KC. 

Team Stat Breakdown

Win/Loss record: Detroit 1-6  <  Chiefs 2-5

Points per gm: Detroit 19.9  > Chiefs 21.4
Points allowed per gm: Detroit 28.6  > Chiefs 24.6     
Passing yards per gm: Detroit 293.9  > Chiefs 260
Rushing yards per gm: Detroit 68  < Chiefs 106.3
Yards allowed per gm: Detriot 286 > Chiefs 279

DFS Players To Consider
(at Draftkings prices)

Lions

Matthew Stafford 5.8k - At 5.8k Stafford is underpriced. Stafford may not be stable as of late in terms of points scored, but he is more than capable of putting 25+ points on the board. Stafford started the season at 7k; now may be a good time to buy in tournaments. Stafford has a new offensive coordinator this week which could bring some positive changes in. Stafford is currently questionable, so keep an eye on his injury status on the news.

Calvin Johnson 7.9k - Megatron has been looking better as of late. I expect him to put up some big points in this game with a new Lions offensive coordinator at the helm. The Chiefs also have been the worse against recievers so far this season. 

Eric Ebron 3.1k - Ebron has been playing pretty consistently all season long and looks to get some targets against the chiefs. In the TE class Ebron is a low-middle tier TE. 

Chiefs

Alex Smith 5k - At 5k, Smith only needs 15 points for a 3x ROI. Smith has scored 15 points or more in 5 of 7 games this season. Smith is a sneaky play as he is sure to be low owned in tournaments. The Lions defense is porous, so keep Smith on the radar for a lineup or two. 

C. West 4.7k - With J. Charles out, West is the clear leader in the backfield for the Chiefs. This game is expected to be relatively close with leads taken by the Chiefs, which suggest a good running game for West. Maclin coming back could affect the workload on West however.

J. Maclin 6.2k - Maclin is at a very fair price and has some upside vs. the Lions. Maclin has had a week of rest with a concussion and should come back shining as Smith needs someone to throw to. For this reason I am not high on Kelce this week, especially with his lack of performance thus far this season.