10/29/15 Patriots @ Dolphins

Patriots @ Dolphins

10/29/15 Thursday Night

Line: Patriots -8
O/U: 50.5

Summary

                Thursday night football this week brings us an expected high scoring matchup between the Pats and the Dolphins. At 50.5, this game is expected to be the highest scoring game this week, which means i'm not going to miss out on some of the buys in this game. The Dolphins are coming into this game after dominating against the Texans last week. In last weeks game the Dolphins had 40 points at halftime! On the other side of this matchup are the undefeated Patriots. The Patriots have been dominating this season, and have yet to take their foot off the gas pedal! You can expect the Patriots to do even more damage after this tweet! Don't forget though, these are divisional rivals, which means anything can happen.

Team Stat Breakdown

Win/Loss record: Patriots 6-0 > Dolphins 3-3

Points per gm: Patriots 35.5 > Dolphins 24.5   
Points allowed per gm: Patriots 21 > Dolphins 22.8     
Passing yards per gm: Patriots 342 > Dolphins 273.7
Rushing yards per gm: Patriots 83.7 < Dolphins 117.5
Yards allowed per gm: Patriots 381.8 > Dolphins 382.5

DFS Players To Consider
(at Draftkings prices)

Patriots

Tom Brady 8.3k - At 8.3k Brady is getting extremely pricey. Brady may be worth it in this matchup and future matchups as he has yet to score less than 25 points in all his games this year. I expect Brady to continue on marching; but I think there are better values at QB. 

L. Blount 4.7k - I'm rarely high on Pats running backs due their unpredictable nature, but I will be high on Blount in cash and gpps if Dion Lewis is declared out for the game. Lewis is a game time decision so keep an eye on the news. 

Rob Gronkowski 8k - Edelman and Gronk are 8.1k and 8k respectively, expensive! This is a game you want to have exposure to, so I do recommend taking at least one of them to rack up the points in this game! I think Gronk will have a better game then Edelman overall, due to better performance overall throughout the year. Lets face it, its Gronk! Have fun.

Danny Amendola 3.6k - Yes, I said it, Amendola! Amendola has put 20+ points on DK the last two weeks. I'm not one to follow the numbers often but I believe this is a pattern that could continue; especially with the amount of drops Edelman has. Keep Amendola to tournaments only, as his floor is very low. 

Patriots DST 3k - This game could turn lopsided quickly, which brings good opportunity for the Dolphins to make mistakes trying to keep up in this game, and hopefully allowing some pick 6's. I'm taking the Patriots in many lineups.

Dolphins

Tannehill 5.6k - The Dolphins QB Tannehill is definately underpriced on DK. Tannehill could easily rack up 15 points in this game turning over a 3x ROI with ease at worse. I am high on Tannehill because I believe he is going to be forced to throw to play catchup in this matchup. 

Lamar Miller 4.7k - How does Draftkings only increase his value by 100 after a 41 point game!? I'm really considering fading Miller in this game, as I believe the Dolphins are going to be throwing more. Bellichick is very good at taking away your favorite player as well. I mention Miller due to his price which is still pretty cheap. 

Jarvis Landry 6.2k - Don't be afraid to take Landry in on your lineups this week just because of the Patriots. Landry is looking to get targets against the Pats and a possible score. His price is just about right, and he has some upside. 

Rishard Matthews 4.3k - Matthews is a great bargain who has been putting up at least 14 points in all but one game this season. Matthews is a good value play, even this week against the Pats in Foxborough.